Poles' polls
Angus Reid:
Donald Tusk (PO) 29%
Lech Kaczyński (PiS) 21%
Włodzimierz Cimoszewicz (SLD) 21%
Andrzej Lepper (SO) 8%
Marek Borowski (SDPL) 5%
Zbigniew Religa (C) 5%
Maciej Giertych (LPR) 3%
Run-Off Scenarios:
Donald Tusk (PO) 54% - 46% Lech Kaczyński (PiS)
Donald Tusk (PO) 65% - 35% Włodzimierz Cimoszewicz (SLD)
Lech Kaczyński (PiS) 57% - 43% Włodzimierz Cimoszewicz (SLD)
Source: PBS Sopot / Gazeta Wyborcza
Methodology: Interviews to 995 Polish adults, conducted from Aug. 19 to Aug. 21, 2005. Margin of error is 3.2 per cent.
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1 Comments:
I'm glad you asked andrew.
My readers must be very confused with me, first endorsing Cimoszewicz, then Tusk, and now I've got a Bochniarz pic on my site.
Let me first say that according to the polls now, Bochniarz has absolutely no chance, and her party, the Democrats, look to not even be in the running for parliamentary seats (They must get 5%, and now they're hovering right around the margin of error, 3%). That's a shame.
The political scene has gotten a little bit crazy since Tusk grabbed the top spot though, and anything could happen. Bochniarz is making a last minute push that might even take her out of last place in presidential polls.
Angelika, if you're reading, I'd recommend taking a look at the Democratic platform:
http://www.democraci.pl
They promote a different kind of politics, and have been running a very clean and positive campaign (one of the reasons why they're losing). But, a vote for the Dems in the parliamentary election or for Bochniarz in the presidential would not be a wasted vote. They won't win a majority in parliament, but they have a chance to push over the 5% limit if sensible folks go out and vote for them. Bochniarz also probably won't win, but a better than expected showing this year could give her enough clout for a run in 2010.
More on Bochniarz later today or this weekend.
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